Kuznets cycle

proposes time

US economist Simon Kuznets in the "Long-term sports" of production and price. In 1930, the US economist Chinaz made a 15-25 year, with an average of 20 years of economic cycle. Since this cycle is mainly divided by the prospective fluctuation of the construction industry and the periodic fluctuation of the decline, it is also known as "architectural cycle".

He believes that the modern economic system is constantly changing, this change has a continuous, irreversible change, ie "long-term movement." Based on the time of the 19th century, the first-rate products of the 19th century, the main products of the agriculture, the price changes of 35 kinds of workers, major products of agriculture, and the price changes of agriculture, and the price changes of agriculture, the price of agriculture, the price of agriculture, the main products of agriculture, and the price changes of agriculture. Changes in the cycle and medium cycle, focusing on the long-term gaining process of the number columns, and proposes that there is a length from 15 to 20 years in the main capitalist countries, and the average length is 20 years of "long wave" or "long-term gain" The argument.

Sign

Kuznets cycle is typical is the embodiment of this cycle is the embodiment of this cycle. The main mark is two major factors to promote development, one is the resident property. Built, the second is the population transfer. In the early 1980s, the agricultural development has been concentrated in rural reforms. The living standards of residents have rapidly increased, and urban and rural residents have entered "quantitative expansion". Rural housing is the most important asset accumulation during this period; The process of employment changes, "the land is not returned to the hometown", the development of township enterprises quickly, urban residents have entered the process of home appliances, urban and rural residents enter the "pursuit of consumption quality" stages led by durable consumer goods, household appliances in family assets accumulate Accelerate.